ADAS and Its Unintended Consequences

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www.eetimes.com, Feb. 19, 2021 – 

All the advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) are expected to help prevent crashes with some functions doing better than others. However, there are its unintended consequences, including potential drawbacks with long-term use and dependency of ADAS equipped vehicles.

Don't get me wrong – ADAS functions are important advances in driving safety and rapid deployment is the right strategy for saving lives, lowering injuries, and reducing property damages. But this column looks at potential negative aspects of long-term ADAS usage. I am also trying to make a speculative estimate of the potential size of this issue by using two different methods to generate two forecast scenarios. One method is to look at how fast ADAS vehicles are growing and make speculations on what portion of ADAS users may see declining driving skills between 2020 and 2040.

The second method is to look at historical driver's license statistics by driver ages and project these driver age mix between 2020 and 2040. I am only using three groups: seniors (65+ years), inexperienced drivers (under 19 years) and experienced drivers (19 to 64 years). For each group I make an estimate of what portion will have declining driving skills between 2020 and 2040.

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